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	<title>adammclane.com &#187; steve jobs</title>
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		<title>Risk vs. Opportunity</title>
		<link>http://adammclane.com/2008/08/05/risk-vs-opportunity/</link>
		<comments>http://adammclane.com/2008/08/05/risk-vs-opportunity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 13:35:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>adam mclane</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web/Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hmm... thoughts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bill gates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bob carter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michigan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[opportunity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pod drop]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[poor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rich]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Romeo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[steve jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[washington]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://adammclane.com/?p=2631</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A common theme in my mind lately has been how we look at the choices we make. As one would imagine, Kristen and I are making tons of decisions right now. And we&#8217;ve come to this conclusion: Most decisions are morally neutral and the outcome depends on you. Quick disclaimer: Look, I know that there [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><img class="alignleft alignnone size-full wp-image-2632" style="vertical-align: text-top;" title="risk" src="http://adammclane.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/risk.jpg" alt="" width="250" /><strong>A common theme in my mind lately has been how we look at the choices we make.</strong> As one would imagine, Kristen and I are making tons of decisions right now. And we&#8217;ve come to this conclusion: <em>Most decisions are morally neutral and the outcome depends on you.</em></p>
<p><strong>Quick disclaimer: </strong>Look, I know that there are moral decisions. Things which God has said are black and white. For example: <em>&#8220;Should we cheat on our taxes?</em> &#8221; No, God&#8217;s pretty clear on that one. This is more about decisions such as, &#8220;<em>Should we rent house A or house B?</em>&#8221; I think those decisions are typically amoral.</p>
<h2>Positive outcomes and positive attitudes</h2>
<p>When it comes to amoral decisions I&#8217;ve noticed that the outcome is largely dependent on my response, action, and attitude. In other words, when I make a decision, whether it turns out good or bad typically has to do with what I do with that decision. <img class="alignright alignnone size-full wp-image-2633" style="float: right;" title="cloud" src="http://adammclane.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/cloud.png" alt="cloud" width="100" height="100" /></p>
<p><strong>Here&#8217;s a reality my friends in Michigan have to deal with.</strong> There is a thick black cloud of pessimism that permeates our community. Until that pessimism is overcome with optimism, the self-fulfilling prophesy of economic doom and gloom will continue. It&#8217;s oppressive. It&#8217;s depressing. And it is making things worse.</p>
<p>Perhaps it is because I am moving, but almost every conversation I have goes like this, &#8220;<em>Romeo is a great place to live&#8230; but I don&#8217;t know, things aren&#8217;t looking good.</em>&#8221; Understand this&#8230; that is a value statement of risk vs. opportunity.</p>
<p><em><strong>And it&#8217;s not all over.</strong></em> As I&#8217;ve traveled this summer I think you should know that this deep pessimism <em>is a Michigan thing</em>. Board a plane departing or arriving at Metro or Flint and it&#8217;s all pessimism in the cabin. But walk through Atlanta, Denver, or San Diego&#8217;s airports and you&#8217;ll see people making lemonade with their lemons. Head back home and it is all about rotten lemons. Making lemonade is apparently too risk for Michigan&#8217;s lemon owners.</p>
<p><strong>Today in Romeo there are about 100 homes on the market. All of them, including mine, are listed below market value. </strong>If you&#8217;re living with the black cloud&#8230; you look at the housing market and say &#8220;<em>Wow, it could go even lower. Owning a home is such a huge risk right now.</em>&#8221; If you look at the housing market from an optimist perspective you respond by saying, &#8220;<em>Man, what a great time to buy. I wonder how I can get some capital to buy up some rental properties.</em>&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Here&#8217;s the simple reality. </strong>Michigan may be in a tough economic situation. But if you see where we are today as <strong>pre-boom</strong> instead of <strong>post-bust</strong> you&#8217;ll recognize that tomorrow&#8217;s millionaires (billionaires?) see today as an opportunity and are leveraging against you over inflating the risk. The rich of 2015 see this as pre-boom. The poor of 2015 see this as post-bust. <em>Get it? It&#8217;s all about your response.</em></p>
<p>I&#8217;ve talked to tons of very young adult people 19-22 years old this summer. And the cloud has infected them with pessimism. <em>They have no dreams</em>. And they are not looking at today&#8217;s problems as their opportunity for a very bright future.</p>
<h2>Here are some opportunities</h2>
<p><strong>#1 You could innovate the next economy for a community.</strong> It won&#8217;t be cars, but will it be technology? <em>Probably.</em> Yet starting a business is &#8220;too risky&#8221; or going to study what is going on in tech boom towns like Boise, Houston, or even Ann Arbor is simply too much risk. Trust me&#8230; the best technological developments come from people looking to make an opportunity out of nothing. (Speaking from experience!) R&amp;D departments can&#8217;t build a winner. But a college kid can invent Facebook for a couple hundred bucks. And a laid off carpenter can invent an <a href="http://poddrop.com">ipod repair business</a>. Sit in a room with a legal pad for a day and no distractions and I guarantee you can innovate something.</p>
<p><strong>#2 You could be the next real estate tycoon for almost no risk. </strong>If you are 22 years old with a college degree and an entry level job. You could buy 2 homes for less than $1500/month. Live in one and rent the other. In 3 months buy another rental and keep capitalizing on people&#8217;s pessimism until you have 5-6 rental homes. As Romeo becomes a renters market you could gain both equity in these undervalued rentals and make tons of income from rent. Heck, if you are 19 with a part time job you could buy a house for $600/month and rent it for $800/month. Save those profits and do it again in 6 months. Hold/rent those 5-6 properties for 10 years and you just made a million dollars.</p>
<p><strong>#3 You could invest in the next Microsoft or Apple.</strong> My conversations with those bought out from their autoworker jobs are depressing. They are saying &#8220;<em>How long can I last on this money?</em>&#8221; Wrong question. The right question is, &#8220;<em>How can I find the right start-up to invest in?</em>&#8221; Michigan has a highly educated and undermotivated work force. As soon as that motivation part turns around this economy will come back like gangbusters. Are you investing in high return start-ups or are you still thinking large cap companies are going to return? Bill Gates&#8217; earliest investors tossed in only $10,000. I think they did OK.</p>
<p><strong>Every decision I make is an evaluation of risk vs. opportunity. <em>What about you?</em></strong></p>
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		<title>Steve Jobs Keynote in 60 Seconds</title>
		<link>http://adammclane.com/2008/01/20/steve-jobs-keynote-in-60-seconds/</link>
		<comments>http://adammclane.com/2008/01/20/steve-jobs-keynote-in-60-seconds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Jan 2008 04:52:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>adam mclane</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Funny Stuff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[60 seconds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[keynote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[steve jobs]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Imagine if we could do a sermon like this.]]></description>
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